Friday, May 22, 2009

BCG on M&A: It's a jungle out there

From TheDeal.com, May 22, 2009:

Dealmakers trying to cash in on companies hurt by the recession have been fighting with said targets over valuation issues. And they may be running out of time to do deals on the cheap. That was made evident in a white paper by Boston Consulting Group Inc., titled "The Clock Is Ticking: Preparing to Seize M&A Opportunities While They Last."
The paper says there are signs the M&A tide could soon turn as equity values stabilize and debt markets show life. BCG isn't urging dealmakers to rush into acquisitions, instead it offers a stress test of sorts about where a company stands in the M&A jungle.
According to a BCG analysis of 281 companies in the S&P 500, just one-fifth of them have a sufficiently robust balance sheet and other financial credentials to engage in M&A (the haves), while another fifth are now so weak and vulnerable that their only course of action is to focus on surviving the downturn (the have-nots).
The paper offers a "predator-prey matrix" to clarify a company's M&A strategy, mapping operational stability against financial stability.
Get to BCG's white paper here. - Baz Hiralal

Friday, May 15, 2009

Dealmakers Expect M&A Activity to Pick Up in Second Half of 2009

ACG-Thomson Reuters Mid-Year 2009 DealMakers Survey Reveals Obstacles and Opportunities for M&A and Private Equity Investing
- - - - - - -
Private Equity Firms Concentrating on Portfolio Company Improvements

CHICAGO, May 13, 2009 – Middle market merger professionals are close to unanimous as to the current state of the M&A market – it is not good. Yet most anticipate it will improve in the second half of 2009, led by distressed sales and by mergers in healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing and distribution, and financial services. The mid-year 2009 survey results were announced today at ACG InterGrowth, Wynn Las Vegas.

The latest twice-yearly survey of by the Association for Corporate Growth (ACG) and Thomson Reuters reveals the most negative outlook in the five-year history of the survey, with 88% of dealmakers saying the current M&A environment is fair or poor, compared to 86% in December 2008.

Over the next six months, the 703 middle market investment bankers, private equity professionals, corporate development officers, lawyers, accountants and business consultants polled expect the number of M&A transactions to:
Increase (56%)
Remain the same (34%)
Slow further (10%)

For links to the complete report, go to http://chapters.acg.org/global/default.aspx

Monday, May 11, 2009

Administration Plans to Strengthen Antitrust Rules

WASHINGTON — President Obama’s top antitrust official this week plans to restore an aggressive enforcement policy against corporations that use their market dominance to elbow out competitors or to keep them from gaining market share.
The new enforcement policy would reverse the Bush administration’s approach, which strongly favored defendants against antitrust claims. It would restore a policy that led to the landmark antitrust lawsuits against Microsoft and Intel in the 1990s.
Ms. Varney is expected to say that the administration rejects the impulse to go easy on antitrust enforcement during weak economic times.
She will assert instead that severe recessions can provide dangerous incentives for large and dominating companies to engage in predatory behavior that harms consumers and weakens competition. The announcement is aimed at making sure that no court or party to a lawsuit can cite the Bush administration policy as the government’s official view in any pending cases.
Ms. Varney is expected to say that the Obama administration will be guided by the view that it was a major mistake during the outset of the Great Depression to relax antitrust enforcement, only to try to catch up and become more vigorous later. She will say the mistake enabled many large companies to engage in pricing, wage and collusive practices that harmed consumers and took years to reverse.
See complete article at: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/11/business/11antitrust.html

Thursday, May 07, 2009

SEC Enforcement: Past, Present and Future

by Dave Lynn, Editor of TheCorporateCounsel.net, May 7, 2009:

SEC Enforcement: Past, Present and Future
Before we all move on with the next phase of the SEC’s revived enforcement efforts, we still have occasion to review what may have helped get use into this mess. As reported in this Bloomberg story from yesterday, the GAO released a report at the end of March outlining the headwinds faced by the Enforcement Staff over the past several years. (Broc mentioned the report in the blog last month.) Today, the Senate Subcommittee on Securities, Insurance, and Investment of the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs will hold a hearing on strengthening the SEC’s enforcement responsibilities.
The Bloomberg story points out how the GAO found that the SEC instituted policies that “slowed cases and led enforcement-unit lawyers to conclude commissioners opposed fining companies.” As one unidentified Staffer put it, there was a feeling that the Commissioners prevented Enforcement from “doing its job.” The findings of the GAO’s report bear out my own experience during those years, not only with respect to Enforcement but also with respect to all other regulatory matters - hostility toward the Staff and its recommendations became institutionalized, which served to not only demoralize the Staff but also to result bad decisions being made at all levels.
The report also notes the use of executive sessions during former Chairman Cox’s tenure, where some Enforcement Staff were barred from participating. The report indicates that executive sessions occurred on 40% of the days when the SEC met to vote in closed Commission meetings in 2008, more than three times the rate in 2005 when Cox was appointed Chairman (but equal to the rate from 2003 and 2004).
As for the future of Enforcement, Chairman Schapiro reiterated her agenda for the Division of Enforcement in an address last week to the Society of American Business Editors and Writers. She noted that she has streamlined SEC enforcement procedures by no longer requiring full Commission approval to launch an investigation, and eliminating the need for approval by the full Commission before negotiating a settlement. She stated “before these directives, enforcement attorneys will tell you that they worried about red lights at every turn — now they see green.” This is sure to mean many more inquiries and, in all likelihood, much speedier cases as the - SEC Enforcement: Past, Present and Future
Before we all move on with the next phase of the SEC’s revived enforcement efforts, we still have occasion to review what may have helped get use into this mess. As reported in this Bloomberg story from yesterday, the GAO released a report at the end of March outlining the headwinds faced by the Enforcement Staff over the past several years. (Broc mentioned the report in the blog last month.) Today, the Senate Subcommittee on Securities, Insurance, and Investment of the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs will hold a hearing on strengthening the SEC’s enforcement responsibilities.
The Bloomberg story points out how the GAO found that the SEC instituted policies that “slowed cases and led enforcement-unit lawyers to conclude commissioners opposed fining companies.” As one unidentified Staffer put it, there was a feeling that the Commissioners prevented Enforcement from “doing its job.” The findings of the GAO’s report bear out my own experience during those years, not only with respect to Enforcement but also with respect to all other regulatory matters - hostility toward the Staff and its recommendations became institutionalized, which served to not only demoralize the Staff but also to result bad decisions being made at all levels.
The report also notes the use of executive sessions during former Chairman Cox’s tenure, where some Enforcement Staff were barred from participating. The report indicates that executive sessions occurred on 40% of the days when the SEC met to vote in closed Commission meetings in 2008, more than three times the rate in 2005 when Cox was appointed Chairman (but equal to the rate from 2003 and 2004).
As for the future of Enforcement, Chairman Schapiro reiterated her agenda for the Division of Enforcement in an address last week to the Society of American Business Editors and Writers. She noted that she has streamlined SEC enforcement procedures by no longer requiring full Commission approval to launch an investigation, and eliminating the need for approval by the full Commission before negotiating a settlement. She stated “before these directives, enforcement attorneys will tell you that they worried about red lights at every turn — now they see green.” This is sure to mean many more inquiries and, in all likelihood, much speedier cases as the Enforcement Division ramps up again.
...
- Dave Lynn